I keep reading on basic TOC reference list and really impressed
about convergence of diciplines (physics, biology, even personal development)
towards non-linear World.
I have shared my comments in LinkedIn for a personal
development book authored by Deepak Cophra.
I would like to share my comments on another book, published
in 1980, by Jeremy Rifkin, Entropy : A New World View. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jeremy_Rifkin
Newton Laws are from physics. They are over even in 1980 !
Rifkin introduces Thermodynamics Laws again from physics.
1st law : Energy is constant in universe, we could neither
create nor destroy it, we could only transform it.
2nd law: Transformation has only one direction; from useful
to not useful, from hot to cold, always to higher disorder = entropy.
In 1750 Jacques Turgot declared evolution towards “better”. For Turgot progress covers not simply the
arts and sciences but, on their base, the whole of culture – manner, mores,
institutions, legal codes, economy, and society. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jacques_Turgot
Around 1690 Jon
Locke interpreted government and society based on Newton’s Laws. He denied
nature and hail to capital accumulation. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_locke
Around 1770 Adam
Smith interpreted economy again based on Newton’s Laws. The major force was
“invisible hand”. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Adam_smith
Unfortunately
around 1850 Darwin was misunderstood by science & politics and
misinterpreted as “natural selection will favour only strong organizations and
all others will fade away (pure monetarism)”. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Charles_Darwin
. Darwin witnessed that only higher forms which can absorb more energy from
outside of their boundaries have chance to survive. This is very well fitting
to an era of obsessed growth – push economy. It also yields more chaos which is
the mean of more energy absorption. (So the organizations grow, they become
more complex, they consume more energy, management becomes harder, stocks are
signs of wasted energy)
Around 1950
Jacques Ellul stated “every new technic is arising due to compensating short
comings of previous technics” in his book Technological Society. Recall flow
centric view vs cost centric view, DDMRP vs MRP, mass production vs Lean /
6sigma/TOC, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jacques_Ellul
Eugene Schwartz
states “every half baked solution will even increase entropy and hence every
new problem is harder to solve than previous one” (complex organizations
required a calculator, MRP invented, complexity asks for more, ERP invented,…)
If in a local
environment (within a boundary) we reach a limit of entropy than all efforts
will be wasted to correct current malfunctioning system. We need to make it
obsolete and switch a new one to improve (let cost centric view out and flow
centric view in, from typewriter to PC, from coal to petroleum,…)
Energy flows, within
the boundary it is natural for energy to flactuate, while transforming energy
(in supply chain, from raw materials to finished goods, in stores) we will
share it, waste it as well. To make energy flow smoother we first try to
upgrade departments in the boundary, local efficiencies, resulting greater and
more complex higher forms. Sooner or later these forms consume more energy than
they permeate. Organization is too big to survive, dinasour naturally selected
to dismiss. Uncontrolled multiplication of cells is known as cancer !
As Darwin points
out we need to be simpler, more flexible, less consuming to survive..
As time passing
mankind become slavery to computers, machines. It will be possible to produce
more data than ever but it will be difficult to obtain relevant information !
(you can not operate anything against ERP in the company, relevant information
is a requirement !!)
Everything in the
world, in the nature is interconnected (consider a simple ecosystem, foodwebs,
it is not chain but a web !!). It is sensitive and fragile (butterfly,
bullwhip effects).
Newton’s Laws for
dead substances but nature is alive, companies are like learning organizations
and Newton’s Laws are no more valid. Learning and volatility drives organisms
thru natural selection and let only flexible enough to dynamically changing
environment organisms to survive. (no more static, everything is changing,
dynamic).
Around 1950 Ilya
Prigogine inserted dissipative structures. This is an early form of Complex
Adaptive Systems. There are boundaries still but not isolated as in Newton’s
case. They need energy to survive (companies need cash flow to survive), they
are becoming more complex then their predecessors, complexity causes
flactuations (we need to balance the flow, not the capacity as lean does),
whole body is vulnerable against variation (we have buffers to protect us,
variability is reality, it is unrealistic to try to kill it as 6sigma tries).
According to Prigogine adoptability to changes is flexibility and is the key to
survive (a dinosaur feel safe to survive since it is big, it has no interest to
changing environment since it is big, it is not existing anymore since it is
big). https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Prigogine
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